moze byc taka opcja ze przejedziemy do oporze na 1900-1920 jak po masle. tak jak wszyscy upatrywali 1410 jako jakas bariere (a przejechalismy po niej bez zastanowienia).
Jak wszyscy mysla ze gdzies jest opor to znak ze go tam nie ma:)
Jedziemy...

2009-05-04 17:26:14 | 78.105.144.* | awerr
u nas bezrobocie bylo ponad 25% i ludzie zyli...przez
kilka ostatnich lat sie poprawilo bo europa nas troche
pociagnela , 2 mil ludzi wyjechalo do pracy, rynek pracy
sie oczyscil a oni przysylali miliony do Polski...ty sie
o ameryke nie martw , jak zwykle spadna na 4 lapki :)


dokładnie, a w JUESEJ 8% BEZROBOCIA i tragedia wielka,
kryzys tysiąclecia.
TO SĄ BREDNIE, LUDZIE SIĘ NA NICH POZNALI.
AKCJE WRACAJĄ NA SWOJE MIEJSCE.

"As goes January, so goes the month and so goes the year." "Sell in May and go away."

Forget the slogans, what most should really be considering are the following ideas and concepts:

1. The economy is getting worse, regardless if the pace has slowed or not. The US economy in particular is likely to pick up steam again on the down side later this year as the full effect of increased unemployment begins to take hold and all those jobless consumers (young and old) hanging by their credit card limits max out. I think this "slowing" is just a pause on our way to worsening conditions.

2. The pis-poor fiscal management by most free market Governments and corporations over the last few decades has just begun to unwind. The problems created cannot be solved by additional lending - PERIOD. Anything to the contrary is a farce.

3. There is nothing wrong with chasing prices as long as you are willing to bail when rallies stall out. Be willing to lock up the profits you have made on the temporary rallies. The problem is most people that chase prices in bear markets are too slow to sense the change in tide and end up riding prices lower back to the bottom (it comes quick in the night as we have all witnessed). I believe we have more downside coming over the next couple years - this is not your ordinary bear market and to think it will be over with a "V" bottom after barely a year is fairly naive.

4. The majority of cash on the side lines is going to stay there, regardless of low returns. Most of the money that has been preserved and moved away from stocks was by those folks close to retirement (if not there already) and they will NEVER move the money back. They cannot afford to lose more than they already have and will look for safe fixed income investments the rest of their lives. There is very little new "young" money coming in compared to how it used to be because good paying jobs for those folks who can look ahead the next 20 years are hard to come by - almost non-existent at this point. This means there is not enough money to carry these rallies over the foreseeable future (next couple years at least).

I am not trying to burst anyone's bubble, but at the same time I can call it like I see it without being required to blow sunshine up your a** like so many of the pundits and fund managers that need a bull market to pay the bills.

In March, spending on residential projects fell 4.2%. Spending on nonresidential construction projects rose 2.7% in March, while spending on public projects rose 1.1%.

Ceny domów nadal będą spadać, więc ci, co je teraz kupią też poniosą na tym straty i nie spłacą kredytów. Tak jak beczą ci, którzy inwestowali w banki w Stanach na jesieni, myśleli, że już nie potanieją...