Notowania

01.06.2011 09:24

Macro Update: Niemiecka maszyna eksportowa w doskonałej kondycji

Opublikowany dziś rano szczegółowy raport o PKB dowodzi, że niemieccy eksporterzy cieszą się doskonałą kondycją pomimo takich przeciwności, jak umocnienie na forexie krajowej waluty i słabość wielu partnerów handlowych ze strefy euro.

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(Money.pl/Anna Kraszkiewicz)

Opublikowany dziś rano szczegółowy raport o PKB dowodzi, że niemieccy eksporterzy cieszą się doskonałą kondycją pomimo takich przeciwności, jak umocnienie na forexie krajowej waluty i słabość wielu partnerów handlowych ze strefy euro.

Niemiecka maszyna eksportowa w doskonałej kondycji
Mimo iż dobry wynik niemieckiego PKB był powszechnie oczekiwany po opublikowaniu 11 maja pierwszego raportu kwartalnego (analitycy spodziewali się +0,9% kw/kw), zrealizowane 1,5% przekroczyło nawet najbardziej optymistyczne prognozy. Dziś rano Niemcy opublikowały szczegółowy raport dotyczący PKB w I kwartale 2011 r., który pokazał, że pomimo umocnienia euro eksport netto nadal jest silnym motorem wzrostu.

Dziś poznamy jeszcze bardziej aktualny niemiecki raport ekonomiczny w postaci wyników majowego badania IFO, w przypadku którego analitycy spodziewają się niewielkiego spadku we wszystkich trzech kategoriach (klimat gospodarczy, sytuacja bieżąca i oczekiwania). Prognostyczny indeks oczekiwań ostatnio spadł dwa razy z rzędu- zdarzyło się to dopiero po raz drugi od 2009 r., a jak wspomniałem, analitycy spodziewają się dziś kolejnego pogorszenia.

Dziś w planach produkcja w strefie euro i sprzedaż nieruchomości mieszkalnych w Stanach
Strefa euro nie ma dziś wiele do zaoferowania wygłodniałym inwestorom - poznamy tylko dane o nowych zamówieniach w przemyśle. W przypadku tych raczej spóźnionych danych z marca analitycy spodziewają się spadku o 1,1% m/m po wzroście o 0,9% w lutym.

Stany zaoferują dziś nieco więcej danych ekonomicznych, informując o sprzedaży nieruchomości mieszkalnych na rynku pierwotnym i wyniku badania sektora produkcyjnego Fedu z Richmond - biorąc pod uwagę ostatnią serię słabych danych o produkcji, której kulminacją był co najwyżej mierny wynik Philadelphia Fed Index, trzeba przyznać, że interesująca będzie zwłaszcza ta druga pozycja.

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